{"id":55204,"date":"2026-07-22T22:23:24","date_gmt":"2026-07-23T04:23:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/?p=55204"},"modified":"2026-07-22T22:23:27","modified_gmt":"2026-07-23T04:23:27","slug":"asi-van-aspirantes-a-coordinacion-de-la-4t-para-17-gubernaturas-segun-rubrum-la-encuestadora-mas-certera-en-la-pasada-eleccion-presidencial","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/2026\/07\/asi-van-aspirantes-a-coordinacion-de-la-4t-para-17-gubernaturas-segun-rubrum-la-encuestadora-mas-certera-en-la-pasada-eleccion-presidencial\/","title":{"rendered":"As\u00ed van aspirantes a coordinaci\u00f3n de la 4T para 17 gubernaturas, seg\u00fan RUBRUM, la encuestadora m\u00e1s certera en la pasada elecci\u00f3n presidencial\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>REPORTEROS DEL SUR<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En la elecci\u00f3n presidencial de 2024, RUBRUM sali\u00f3 como una de las m\u00e1s certeras. Seg\u00fan el balance que hizo Campaigns and Elections M\u00e9xico despu\u00e9s de la elecci\u00f3n, RUBRUM fue la firma m\u00e1s atinada del proceso electoral al acertar ganador en 9 de 10 elecciones &#8211; 1 presidencial + 9 gubernaturas. Solo fall\u00f3 en Yucat\u00e1n, donde gan\u00f3 Morena de forma sorpresiva.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-rubrum wp-block-embed-rubrum\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"fgaZkEAZGo\"><a href=\"https:\/\/rubrum.info\/rumbo-a-2027-preferencias-de-defensores-de-la-4t-y-la-soberania-en-17-estados-clave-julio-2027\/\">Rumbo a 2027: Preferencias de Defensores de la 4T y la soberan\u00eda en 17 estados clave &#8211; julio 2027<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"\u00abRumbo a 2027: Preferencias de Defensores de la 4T y la soberan\u00eda en 17 estados clave \u2013 julio 2027\u00bb \u2014 RUBRUM\" src=\"https:\/\/rubrum.info\/rumbo-a-2027-preferencias-de-defensores-de-la-4t-y-la-soberania-en-17-estados-clave-julio-2027\/embed\/#?secret=iRTH54q1MB#?secret=fgaZkEAZGo\" data-secret=\"fgaZkEAZGo\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/uno-1024x768.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-55206\" srcset=\"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/uno-1024x768.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/uno-300x225.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/uno-768x576.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/uno-1536x1152.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/uno-465x349.jpeg 465w, https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/uno-667x500.jpeg 667w, https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/uno.jpeg 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En la presidencial, el resultado oficial final fue: Claudia Sheinbaum 59.7%, X\u00f3chitl G\u00e1lvez 27.8%, Jorge M\u00e1ynez 10.4%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/dos-1024x768.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-55207\" srcset=\"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/dos-1024x768.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/dos-300x225.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/dos-768x576.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/dos-1536x1152.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/dos-465x349.jpeg 465w, https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/dos-667x500.jpeg 667w, https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/dos.jpeg 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Como todas las casas serias, RUBRUM acert\u00f3 a la ganadora dentro del margen de error. Su \u00faltima medici\u00f3n de mayo la pon\u00eda alrededor de 55% para Sheinbaum, 31% para G\u00e1lvez y 13% para M\u00e1ynez, que era el promedio que marcaba el agregador Polls MX para esa fecha.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/tres-1024x768.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-55208\" srcset=\"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/tres-1024x768.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/tres-300x225.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/tres-768x576.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/tres-1536x1152.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/tres-465x349.jpeg 465w, https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/tres-667x500.jpeg 667w, https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/tres.jpeg 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">No fue de las que tuvieron que disculparse. Las que m\u00e1s se alejaron fueron M\u00e9xico Elige &#8211; que proyect\u00f3 una elecci\u00f3n cerrada de 47% vs 42.8% cuando la diferencia real fue de 30 puntos &#8211; y Massive Caller, que incluso puso a G\u00e1lvez arriba por 0.2 puntos.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>REPORTEROS DEL SUR En la elecci\u00f3n presidencial de 2024, RUBRUM sali\u00f3 como una de las m\u00e1s certeras. Seg\u00fan el balance que hizo Campaigns and Elections M\u00e9xico despu\u00e9s de la elecci\u00f3n, RUBRUM fue la firma m\u00e1s atinada del proceso electoral al acertar ganador en 9 de 10 elecciones &#8211; 1 presidencial<span class=\"more-link theme-more-link\"><a href=\"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/2026\/07\/asi-van-aspirantes-a-coordinacion-de-la-4t-para-17-gubernaturas-segun-rubrum-la-encuestadora-mas-certera-en-la-pasada-eleccion-presidencial\/\">Leer Nota Complete<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":55205,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[6,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["entry","author-guza0892gmail-com","post-55204","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-destacado","category-mexico"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cuatro-porta.jpg",1545,795,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cuatro-porta-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cuatro-porta-300x154.jpg",300,154,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cuatro-porta-768x395.jpg",768,395,true],"large":["https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cuatro-porta-1024x527.jpg",1024,527,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cuatro-porta-1536x790.jpg",1536,790,true],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cuatro-porta.jpg",1545,795,false],"ultp_layout_landscape_large":["https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cuatro-porta-1200x795.jpg",1200,795,true],"ultp_layout_landscape":["https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cuatro-porta-870x570.jpg",870,570,true],"ultp_layout_portrait":["https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cuatro-porta-600x795.jpg",600,795,true],"ultp_layout_square":["https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cuatro-porta-600x600.jpg",600,600,true],"hoot-medium-thumb":["https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cuatro-porta-460x400.jpg",460,400,true],"hoot-preview":["https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cuatro-porta-465x239.jpg",465,239,true],"hoot-preview-thumb":["https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cuatro-porta-465x550.jpg",465,550,true],"hoot-large-thumb":["https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cuatro-porta-690x550.jpg",690,550,true],"hoot-preview-large":["https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cuatro-porta-695x358.jpg",695,358,true],"hoot-wide-thumb":["https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cuatro-porta-920x425.jpg",920,425,true],"hoot-extra-wide-thumb":["https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/cuatro-porta-1035x425.jpg",1035,425,true]},"author_info":{"display_name":"Reporteros del Sur","author_link":"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/author\/guza0892gmail-com\/"},"category_info":"<a href=\"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/category\/destacado\/\" rel=\"category tag\">Destacado<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/category\/mexico\/\" rel=\"category tag\">M\u00e9xico<\/a>","tag_info":"M\u00e9xico","comment_count":"0","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55204","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=55204"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55204\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":55209,"href":"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55204\/revisions\/55209"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/55205"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=55204"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=55204"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reporterosdelsur.org\/diario\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=55204"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}